{"product_id":"forecasting-the-2026-midterms-the-end-of-the-republican-majority","title":"Forecasting the 2026 Midterms: The End of the Republican Majority? - 1 Sep 2026","description":"\u003cp class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in; color: #222222; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 18.4px; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-family: 'Avenir Next LT Pro', sans-serif;\"\u003eWhen it comes to control of the Presidency and Congress, we are in a period of instability not seen in more than a century. No party seems able to govern beyond a two-term period, and the slim partisan margins make it difficult to enact legislation. If the midterm loss pattern holds, in 2026 Republicans are likely to lose their majority in the House and, perhaps, in the Senate, as well, thus continuing this period of unstable majorities. But will the pattern hold? For answers, we look at political science forecast models. What do they tell us?\u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in; color: #222222; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 18.4px; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-family: 'Avenir Next LT Pro', sans-serif;\"\u003e \u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in; color: #222222; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 18.4px; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-family: 'Avenir Next LT Pro', sans-serif;\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eGuest Speaker:\u003cbr\u003eMatthew Dickinson\u003c\/strong\u003e is a professor of political science at Middlebury College. He previously taught at Harvard University, where he also received his Ph.D., working under the supervision of presidential scholar Richard Neustadt, and was a Fellow in the Governmental Studies Program at the Brookings Institution. Matthew Dickinson is the author of \u003cem\u003eBitter Harvest: FDR, Presidential Power, and the Growth of the Presidential Branch\u003c\/em\u003e (Cambridge University Press) and co-editor of \u003cem\u003eGuardian of the Presidency: The Legacy of Richard E. Neustadt\u003c\/em\u003e (The Brookings Institution). He has also published numerous articles on the presidency, Congress, presidential decision making, and presidential advisers.\u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"event-calendar-app","offers":[{"title":"In Person Ticket","offer_id":45524583743679,"sku":null,"price":20.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true},{"title":"Live Stream Ticket","offer_id":46008068866239,"sku":null,"price":20.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0634\/4723\/6799\/files\/unnamed_af92530e-000d-4eb5-a827-03ce050fc07f.jpg?v=1776704314","url":"https:\/\/greenmtnacademy.org\/products\/forecasting-the-2026-midterms-the-end-of-the-republican-majority","provider":"Green Mountain Academy for Lifelong Learning","version":"1.0","type":"link"}